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The expectation of variance derivation

You already know what the random variable is and what the expected value (or expectation) is. If not, please read the Essential background I section.

Expectation rules

The expectation is denoted by the capital letter E.

The expectation of the random variable E(X) equals the mean of the random variable:

E(X)=μX
Where μX is the mean of the random variable.

Here are some basic expectation rules:

Rule Notes
1 E(X)=μX=Σxp(x) p(x) is the probability of x (discrete case)
2 E(a)=a a is constant
3 E(aX)=aE(X) a is constant
4 E(a±X)=a±E(X) a is constant
5 E(a±bX)=a±bE(X) a and b are constant
6 E(X±Y)=E(X)±E(Y) Y is another random variable
7 E(XY)=E(X)E(Y) If X and Y are independent

All the rules are quite straightforward and don't need proof.

Expectation of the variance

The expectation of variance is given by:

V(X)=σ2x=E(X2)μ2X

Where V(X) is the variance of X

The proof:

Notes
V(X)=σ2X=E((XμX)2)
=E(X22XμX+μ2X)
=E(X2)E(2XμX)+E(μ2X) Applied rule number 5: E(a±bX)=a±bE(X)
=E(X2)2μXE(X)+E(μ2X) Applied rule number 3: E(aX)=aE(X)
=E(X2)2μXE(X)+μ2X Applied rule number 2: E(a)=a
=E(X2)2μXμX+μ2X Applied rule number 1: E(X)=μX
=E(X2)μ2X

The expectation of the body position variance

The body position displacement variance in terms of time and velocity is given by:

V(x)=Δt2V(v) or σ2x=Δt2σ2v
Where:
x is the displacement of the body
v is the velocity of the body
Δ(t) is the time interval

The proof:

Notes
V(x)=σ2x=E(x2)μ2x
=E((vΔt)2)(μvΔt)2 Express the body position variance in terms of time and velocity: x=Δtv
=E(v2Δt2)μ2vΔt2
=Δt2E(v2)μ2vΔt2 Applied rule number 3: E(aX)=aE(X)
=Δt2(E(v2)μ2v)
=Δt2V(v) Applied expectation of variance rule: V(X)=E(X2)μ2X
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